Thursday, August 4, 2011

English Premier League 2011-2012 Season-Long Prediction Contest

The Least Thing 2011-2012 season-long English Premier League prediction contest is now open for entries. Get your entries in before the first game next week to participate.

To enter, in the comments below simply rank your prediction for the end-of-season table from 1 through 20.  The tie-breaker will be first selection of champion and then relegation.  I will at a few points through the season provide updates on standings and discuss the competition.

The metric of skill used as the baseline for evaluation in this competition will be the Ladbrokes odds for winning the championship as of August 4, 2012, as below.

1. Manchester Utd
2. Chelsea
3. Manchester City
4. Arsenal
5. Liverpool
6. Tottenham
7. Everton
8. Aston Villa
9. QPR
10. Blackburn
11. Bolton
12. Fulham
13. Newcastle
14. Stoke
15. Sunderland
16. West Brom
17. Norwich
18. Wigan
19. Wolves
20 . Swansea

I have searched and requested from several sources, with no luck, data on currrent team salaries and player values.  If I can come across this information, I'll add it in as a second metric of skill (and pointers welcomed in the comments).  For those new here wanting to get up to speed on this notion of "skill" in prediction, please see the posts here and here.

The winner of the competition wins a signed copy of The Climate Fix, paperback edition.  Good luck!

PS. For those looking for the Bundesliga prediction contest, join here by August 5th!
Posted by at 6:44 AM

11 comments:

  1. MaxAugust 4, 2011 at 3:37 PM

    1. Chelsea
    2. Manchester City
    3. Liverpool
    4. Arsenal
    5. Manchester Utd
    6. Everton
    7. Tottenham
    8. Fulham
    9. Newcastle
    10. West Brom
    11. Sunderland
    12. Blackburn
    13. QPR
    14. Stoke
    15. Bolton
    16. Aston Villa
    17. Wolves
    18. Wigan
    19. Norwich
    20 . Swansea

    ReplyDelete
  2. RoddyAugust 7, 2011 at 5:37 AM

    Roger, I'm sure there is data somewhere on EPL club wage bills. If not, club turnover would be some sort of proxy (except for Man City of course). And I'm sure I've seen wages/turnover as a percentage somewhere too. I'll sniff around.

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousAugust 7, 2011 at 8:44 AM

    1. chelsea!
    2. arsenal
    3. man utd
    4. liverpool
    5. manchester city
    6. everton
    7. spurs
    8. fulham
    9. sunderland
    10. blackburn
    11. west bromwich albion
    12. stoke city
    13. queens park rangers
    14. newcastle
    15. aston villa
    16. bolton
    17. wigan
    18. norwich
    19. wolverhamption
    20. swansea

    ReplyDelete
  4. IanAugust 7, 2011 at 1:23 PM

    1. Manchester City
    2. Chelsea
    3. Manchester United
    4. Arsenal
    5. Tottenham
    6. Bolton
    7. Liverpool
    8. Stoke
    9. Wolves
    10. Newcastle
    11. Fulham
    12. Sunderland
    13. Blackburn
    14. Aston Villa
    15. Norwich
    16. QPR
    17. Everton
    18. Wigan
    19. West Brom
    20. Swansea

    ReplyDelete
  5. CNY RogerAugust 8, 2011 at 5:28 PM

    I rolled a die among three tiers having no idea about the bottom of the table or much to pick within the tiers:
    1. Manchester United
    2. Manchester City
    3. Chelsea
    4. Liverpool
    5. Arsenal
    6. Tottenham
    7. QPR
    8. Blackburn
    9. Aston Villa
    10. Fulham
    11. Bolton
    12. Everton
    13. Newcastle
    14. Fulham
    15. Norwich
    16. Wigan
    17. Wolves
    18. West Brom
    19. Stoke
    20. Swansea

    ReplyDelete
  6. itzikAugust 8, 2011 at 7:50 PM

    1. Chelsea
    2. Manchester City
    3. Liverpool
    4. Manchester United
    5. Tottenham
    6. Arsenal
    7. Everton
    8. Bolton
    9. Fulham
    10. Stoke
    11. Aston Villa
    12. Blackburn
    13. Newcastle
    14. Sunderland
    15. QPR
    16. West Brom
    17. Wolves
    18. Wigan
    19. Swansea
    20. Norwich

    ...and Leeds will go UP!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  7. Roger Pielke, Jr.August 12, 2011 at 8:34 AM

    1. Manchester City
    2. Liverpool
    3. Chelsea
    4. Manchester United
    5. Tottenham
    6. Arsenal
    7. Sunderland
    8. Everton
    9. Aston Villa
    10. QPR
    11. Newcastle
    12. Bolton
    13. Stoke
    14. Fulham
    15. Blackburn
    16. Wigan
    17. Wolves
    18. West Brom
    19. Swansea
    20. Norwich

    ReplyDelete
  8. n-gAugust 12, 2011 at 4:27 PM

    1. Manchester United
    2. Manchester City
    3. Chelsea
    4. Liverpool
    5. Tottenham
    6. Arsenal
    7. Fulham
    8. Sunderland
    9. Everton
    10. West Brom
    11. Newcastle
    12. Bolton
    13. Stoke
    14. Aston Villa
    15. QPR
    16. Blackburn
    17. Wolves
    18. Norwich
    19. Wigan
    20. Swansea

    ReplyDelete
  9. keeperusaAugust 12, 2011 at 4:49 PM

    Well...I was waiting till the last minute to see who got Sneijder... but it looks like ManU/City will have to wait till after the start of the season for a deal...or not! As it stands, here are my picks! Let the games begin!!

    1Man Utd
    2Man City
    3Chelsea
    4Liverpool
    5Arsenal
    6Tottenham
    7Fulham
    8Everton
    9West Brom
    10Aston Villa
    11Stoke City
    12Sunderland
    13QPR
    14Wolves
    15Newcastle
    16Bolton
    17Blackburn
    18Wigan
    19Swansea
    20Norwich

    ReplyDelete
  10. ArthurAugust 12, 2011 at 9:15 PM

    Sorry for the late reply, here are the correct predictions ....

    1. Chelsea
    2. Manchester Utd
    4. Liverpool
    3. Manchester City
    5. Tottenham
    6. Everton
    7. Arsenal
    8. Aston Villa
    9. Newcastle
    10. QPR
    11. Blackburn
    12. Fulham
    13. Sunderland
    14. Norwich
    15. West Brom
    16. Wolves
    17. Swansea
    18. Stoke
    19. Bolton
    20. Wigan

    Go Chelsea! --Arthur

    ReplyDelete
  11. AnonymousAugust 13, 2011 at 9:50 AM

    Hi Roger, no idea I could still do this. Just back from a village in Peru.

    1. Manchester United
    2. Manchester City
    3. Chelsea
    4. Liverpool
    5. Arsenal
    6. Tottenham
    7. Fulham
    8. Aston Villa
    9. Newcastle
    10. Sunderland
    11. QPR
    12. Blackburn
    13. Bolton
    14. Everton
    15. Stoke
    16. Norwich
    17. Wolves
    18. West Brom
    19. Wigan
    20. Swansea

    ReplyDelete

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)