I then went out on a limb with a prediction:
I am going to go out on a limb and predict a >50% chance that Silver's 2013 predictions fail to show skill as well.With the Final Four set and only Louisville left in both Silver's bracket and the top seed naive bracket we can declare a winner.
- Silver's bracket resulted in 41 correct picks from 60 games.
- The top seed naive bracket resulted in 41 correct picks from 60 games.
It is easier to predict predictions than to predict the real world.